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Old 01-06-2011, 01:46 AM   #1
rojodiablo
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SOOooooooo.... any predictions????

Well, since y'all were falling over your DICKS ranting about the great weather recommendations of a 'full blown El Nino' and you were counting your dorado chicks before they hatched....... anyone care to step up to the plate and talk some weather shit????

Remember, this year is a "La Nina"- a weather pattern that DID NOT even exist until about 10 years ago, when weathermen & women realized that saying "Warm and 77 again" does not pay for fake tits and face lifts (Or endless tanning booth sessions in the case of Dallas 'Leatherface' Rains).

Like so many other weather patterns, they are relying on a computer model with no grasp of the overall scope of history, and long term weather. And La Nina is what they are selling you. "The dry, cooler season that is the opposite of El Nino..."
Anyways, sierra snowpack is about a tepid 200% of normal for this time of year. We are matching last years' El NoShow rain step for step. (Let's not forget how every weather persona non grata has been howling about record rainfalls like we have not seen before......(Sure gang, I can't remember back 365 days.... I am just some dumb fisherman......)

So, what's it gonna be?? Is this a La Nina, where it is dryer and colder than an El NoShow, and in 2010, we actually had a blue rockfish taken at Pt. Dume in that ultra warm El Nino water......

Let's hear your thoughts on the weather, for the season we are in right now, and for the year ahead.
Don't bother to say anything you read from NOAA. They are so lost and incompetent these days, it's a shame and a half. Gut feelings, from the guys who might know something. ( I'd rather see your own opinion, rather than you skimming it from some other source as so many do, just so we can say "You were not right" rather than "You're a jackass for quoting a moron with a meteorology degree from a Cracker Jack Box."

Let's hear it, and I'll toss in my 2 cents after we see what you got!

There are no January WSB, squid or no squid.... so don't bother.
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Old 01-06-2011, 01:56 AM   #2
"Yard-Sale Josh"
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Re: SOOooooooo.... any predictions????

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Originally Posted by rojodiablo View Post

There are no January WSB, squid or no squid.... so don't bother.
Not sure about that one Paul, we keep seeing them way tight to the beach past few months, a few weeks ago my friend saw some 20lb fish swimming right next to me while he was on a SUP. Santa anas are blowing like hell right now so I might get a legitimate shot at one in the next few days.

As for the rest of the year I hope I have some viz this year at my spots until I leave for my summer long baja trip, then the weather can suck it (please no hurricanes).
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Old 01-06-2011, 01:56 AM   #3
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Re: SOOooooooo.... any predictions????

Let it rain.... let it snow.... let the rivermouths flow..... Build me a sandbar that I can surf till it goes.
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Old 01-06-2011, 02:00 AM   #4
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Re: SOOooooooo.... any predictions????

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Let it rain.... let it snow.... let the rivermouths flow..... Build me a sandbar that I can surf till it goes.
**** that, gimme shitloads of offshore winds and no waves.
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Old 01-06-2011, 02:09 AM   #5
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Re: SOOooooooo.... any predictions????

chris oak posted this thing about ARk Storm
atmospheric rivers
the pineapple express here in so cal
http://urbanearth.gps.caltech.edu/winter-storm/

I think that if the pattern holds with winds from due west that predominate for more than just the usual pattern of june gloom

we will have a repeat of june gloom lasting well into September again
leading to overall colder waters basically a continuation of last year but likely even a bit worse (or better for WSB, blue whale sightings and humbolt squid)
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Old 01-06-2011, 02:12 AM   #6
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Re: SOOooooooo.... any predictions????

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Fag,
Surfing gets pretty old when the air and water are both in the low 50's and you don't have a surf suit.

Offshore winds= gin clear water. Rather go diving than surfing any day.
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Old 01-06-2011, 02:21 AM   #7
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Re: SOOooooooo.... any predictions????

Sorry to bring up NOAA... but they do keep interesting RECORDS, even if their forecasts aren't worth a damn...



The above shows that we have not reached such an extreme "blue" level of "standardized departure" since 1976 or whenever.

And this one is pretty interesting too: http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/ana...nsoyears.shtml
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Old 01-06-2011, 02:29 AM   #8
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Re: SOOooooooo.... any predictions????

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Surfing Old. .....huh?. I drink gin, grind pools, go surfing, and then... wait you dont have a surf suit and you live in Malibu.
I'm the only one man enough to go out there with no suit and freeze.
All I do is kill fish all that other stuff is just to keep me busy when the weather/viz sucks and there are no fish biting.
Give me clear water or a jig stick and a tady 45 any day before you give me waves and rain.

Last edited by Nate Baker; 01-06-2011 at 08:42 AM.
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Old 01-06-2011, 02:30 AM   #9
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Re: SOOooooooo.... any predictions????

Quote:
Originally Posted by saltierdog View Post
chris oak posted this thing about ARk Storm
atmospheric rivers
the pineapple express here in so cal
http://urbanearth.gps.caltech.edu/winter-storm/

I think that if the pattern holds with winds from due west that predominate for more than just the usual pattern of june gloom

we will have a repeat of june gloom lasting well into September again
leading to overall colder waters basically a continuation of last year but likely even a bit worse (or better for WSB, blue whale sightings and humbolt squid)
Farlow... dont be copying me and changing your Avatar dude.
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Old 01-06-2011, 02:36 AM   #10
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Re: SOOooooooo.... any predictions????

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I'm the only one man enough to go out there with no suit and freeze. Besides surfing is kinda gay...
All I do is kill fish all that other stuff is just to keep me busy when the weather/viz sucks and there are no fish biting.
Give me clear water or a jig stick and a tady 45 any day before you give me waves and rain.
Surfing without a suit is retarded. I have 10 jig sticks 2000 Tadys, fish, dive surf... enjoy it and dont complain, dont be so negitive. There are so many places worse than this.. be happy to be here. So Cal is sick... fish, surf, snow, skateparks n hot hoes. ha.
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Old 01-06-2011, 02:39 AM   #11
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Re: SOOooooooo.... any predictions????

To me if it doesn't involve killing fish, it just isn't something I like to do that much.
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Old 01-06-2011, 02:44 AM   #12
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Re: SOOooooooo.... any predictions????

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To me if it doesn't involve killing fish, it just isn't something I like to do that much.
OK.. I like you Kyle. Fuk wad.
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Old 01-06-2011, 03:01 AM   #13
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Re: SOOooooooo.... any predictions????

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OK.. I like you Kyle. Fuk wad.
Come up here in spring we got boats and spotz.
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Old 01-06-2011, 03:04 AM   #14
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Re: SOOooooooo.... any predictions????

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Come up here in spring we got boats and spotz.
I know dude. I can tell your OG. I will hit you up bud.
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Old 01-06-2011, 03:51 AM   #15
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Re: SOOooooooo.... any predictions????

I think that the news is complaining about the rain now, but in summer will be complaining that it is a 30 year drought!

My prediction is this year has and will be a normal(average) year.
Dec-Feb; periods of rain and sun. 45*-60* and Average total rainfal.
March-June; WSB. Algae blooms, Windy marine layer. cold and miserable 50*-60* as usual.
June-Sep; Warm with YT, sparadic WSB and Dorado in certain areas.
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